Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: AFC Malmo to win @ 2.89 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRosengård to win ✓41% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.39
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.97
Rosengård vs AFC Malmo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AFC Malmo travel to face Rosengård on Saturday 7 November in the Ettan Södra – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Rosengård are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; AFC Malmo are 4th (among the top four) with 47.
Current form
Rosengård, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Skövde AIK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
AFC Malmo, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 6–3 win over Trollhättan, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours AFC Malmo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Rosengård.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rosengård 1.7 xG, AFC Malmo 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rosengård 41%, draw 20%, AFC Malmo 39%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.39.
Price worth noting: AFC Malmo to win @2.89 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rosengård 2–1 AFC Malmo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rosengård41%fair 2.45 · @2.02
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.60
AFC Malmo39%fair 2.55 · @2.89
3.33Expected goals
1.68Rosengård xG
1.65AFC Malmo xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rosengård 1.7 – 1.6 AFC Malmo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosengård to win✓
41%
2.45
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.39
Draw no bet
Rosengård (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
AFC Malmo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.26
First team to score
Rosengård to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosengård / FT Rosengård✓
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.97
–
Recent results
Rosengård – last 6
LLDDLW
31 Oct
@ Skövde AIK
2–3
L
24 Oct
vs Kristianstad
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Tvååker
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Atvidabergs FF
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Angelholms FF
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs Hässleholms IF
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Malmo – last 6
WLLWWW
1 Nov
vs Trollhättan
6–3
W
24 Oct
vs Angelholms FF
2–3
L
17 Oct
@ Jonkopings Sodra
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Skövde AIK
4–2
W
2 Oct
@ Kristianstad
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Eskilsminne
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosengård and AFC Malmo.
What is the prediction for Rosengård vs AFC Malmo?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Rosengård vs AFC Malmo?
On our numbers Rosengård have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AFC Malmo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Rosengård vs AFC Malmo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosengård vs AFC Malmo?
Our predicted score is Rosengård 2–1 AFC Malmo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rosengård vs AFC Malmo?
Rosengård vs AFC Malmo (Ettan Södra) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
