Value bet: Kashima to win @ 2.65 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✓42% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the J1 League brings Kashima against Kashiwa Reysol at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT. In the table, Kashima are 1st, leading the league, on 45 points after 18 matches; Kashiwa Reysol are 8th (in the drop zone) with 20. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 1.7 xG, Kashiwa Reysol 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 42%, draw 25%, Kashiwa Reysol 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Kashima to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashima42%fair 2.41 · @2.65
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.30
Kashiwa Reysol34%fair 2.96 · @2.50
3.18Expected goals
1.72Kashima xG
1.46Kashiwa Reysol xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Kashima 1.7 – 1.5 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
42%
2.41
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Kashiwa Reysol +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.09
First team to score
Kashima to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✓
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Kashima – last 1
W
14 Feb
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Kashiwa Reysol.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers Kashima have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashiwa Reysol 34%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is Kashima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shimizu S-pulse1
Vissel Kobe0
Nagoya Grampus1
V-varen Nagasaki3