Value bet: Fagiano Okayama to win @ 3.45 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKyoto Sanga to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:55 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Fagiano Okayama v Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League, played at City Light Stadium. In the table, Fagiano Okayama are 6th, lower half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Kyoto Sanga are 8th (in the drop zone) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kyoto Sanga, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sanfrecce Hiroshima, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fagiano Okayama 1.3 xG, Kyoto Sanga 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fagiano Okayama 31%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 42%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Fagiano Okayama to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Kyoto Sanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fagiano Okayama31%fair 3.21 · @3.45
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Kyoto Sanga42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
2.61Expected goals
1.25Fagiano Okayama xG
1.36Kyoto Sanga xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.3 – 1.4 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kyoto Sanga to win✗
42%
2.38
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Kyoto Sanga (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Fagiano Okayama +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Kyoto Sanga to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kyoto Sanga / FT Kyoto Sanga✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Fagiano Okayama – last 2
LD
22 Feb
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kyoto Sanga – last 3
WWD
27 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Avispa Fukuoka
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and Kyoto Sanga.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kyoto Sanga 42%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?
Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 04:55 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
