Double chanceV-varen Nagasaki or draw ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.49
V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
V-varen Nagasaki welcome Avispa Fukuoka to Peace Stadium for a J1 League fixture on Sunday 15 March (06:00 WAT). In the table, V-varen Nagasaki are 9th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 18 matches; Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (in the drop zone) with 21. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
V-varen Nagasaki, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Gamba Osaka, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Avispa Fukuoka, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Nagoya Grampus, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours V-varen Nagasaki, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.0 for Avispa Fukuoka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give V-varen Nagasaki 1.6 xG, Avispa Fukuoka 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – V-varen Nagasaki 46%, draw 27%, Avispa Fukuoka 27%.
Lower-risk option: V-varen Nagasaki or draw (73%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was V-varen Nagasaki or draw (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
V-varen Nagasaki46%fair 2.17 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.00
Avispa Fukuoka27%fair 3.71 · @3.30
2.78Expected goals
1.65V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.13Avispa Fukuoka xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 1.6 – 1.1 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
V-varen Nagasaki to win✓
46%
2.17
2.15
Double chance
V-varen Nagasaki or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
V-varen Nagasaki (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Avispa Fukuoka +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
V-varen Nagasaki to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT V-varen Nagasaki / FT V-varen Nagasaki✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
V-varen Nagasaki – last 4
LWWL
8 Mar
@ Gamba Osaka
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka – last 4
LLLL
7 Mar
vs Nagoya Grampus
1–5
L
27 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Kyoto Sanga
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Cerezo Osaka
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between V-varen Nagasaki and Avispa Fukuoka.
What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is V-varen Nagasaki or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Avispa Fukuoka 27%.
How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka?
V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
