Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 March the J1 League brings Fagiano Okayama against V-varen Nagasaki at City Light Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Fagiano Okayama are 6th, lower half, on 26 points after 18 matches; V-varen Nagasaki are 9th (in the drop zone) with 21.
Current form
Fagiano Okayama, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cerezo Osaka, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
V-varen Nagasaki, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kyoto Sanga, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fagiano Okayama 1.5 xG, V-varen Nagasaki 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fagiano Okayama 45%, draw 26%, V-varen Nagasaki 29%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fagiano Okayama45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.25
V-varen Nagasaki29%fair 3.47 · @3.25
2.63Expected goals
1.51Fagiano Okayama xG
1.12V-varen Nagasaki xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.5 – 1.1 V-varen Nagasaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fagiano Okayama to win✗
45%
2.21
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Fagiano Okayama (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
V-varen Nagasaki +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Fagiano Okayama to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Fagiano Okayama – last 4
WWLD
18 Mar
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
V-varen Nagasaki – last 6
LWLWWL
18 Mar
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Gamba Osaka
2–3
L
28 Feb
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–1
W
13 Feb
@ Vissel Kobe
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and V-varen Nagasaki.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and V-varen Nagasaki 29%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 V-varen Nagasaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki?
Fagiano Okayama vs V-varen Nagasaki (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
