Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Wednesday 1 April: Machida Zelvia v FC Tokyo in the J1 League, played at Machida Stadium. In the table, Machida Zelvia are 3rd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; FC Tokyo are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Machida Zelvia, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Urawa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Tokyo, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over JEF United Chiba, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Machida Zelvia 1.2 xG, FC Tokyo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Machida Zelvia 38%, draw 29%, FC Tokyo 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Machida Zelvia 1–1 FC Tokyo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Machida Zelvia38%fair 2.64 · @2.50
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @3.25
FC Tokyo34%fair 2.98 · @2.75
2.40Expected goals
1.24Machida Zelvia xG
1.16FC Tokyo xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.2 – 1.2 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✗
38%
2.64
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Draw no bet
Machida Zelvia (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
FC Tokyo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Machida Zelvia to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WLWWDW
22 Mar
@ Urawa
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Kashima
0–3
L
14 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
10 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Tokyo – last 5
WWLWD
18 Mar
@ JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Urawa
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and FC Tokyo.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and FC Tokyo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?
Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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