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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kyoto Sanga v Shimizu S-pulse: numbers & prediction

J1 League · Japan · Sanga Stadium by Kyocera

Kyoto Sanga

LWLWL
1–2
FT

Shimizu S-pulse

LLWLW
Kyoto Sanga 48%Draw 26%Shimizu S-pulse 26% Expected goals 1.55 – 0.99
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultKyoto Sanga to win ✗48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kyoto Sanga welcome Shimizu S-pulse to Sanga Stadium by Kyocera for a J1 League fixture on Saturday 2 May (06:00 WAT). In the table, Kyoto Sanga are 8th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 18 matches; Shimizu S-pulse are 7th (lower half) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kyoto Sanga, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cerezo Osaka, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Shimizu S-pulse, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to V-varen Nagasaki, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shimizu S-pulse, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Kyoto Sanga.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Kyoto Sanga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kyoto Sanga 1.5 xG, Shimizu S-pulse 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kyoto Sanga 48%, draw 26%, Shimizu S-pulse 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyoto Sanga 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kyoto Sanga48%fair 2.09 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.35
Shimizu S-pulse26%fair 3.81 · @3.35
2.54Expected goals
1.55Kyoto Sanga xG
0.99Shimizu S-pulse xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Kyoto Sanga 1.5 – 1.0 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKyoto Sanga to win ✗48%2.092.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.75
Draw no betKyoto Sanga (draw no bet) ✗65%1.55–
Asian handicapShimizu S-pulse +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.09
First team to scoreKyoto Sanga to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kyoto Sanga / FT Kyoto Sanga ✗30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

Kyoto Sanga – last 6

LWLWLL
18 Apr@ Cerezo Osaka0–3L
11 Aprvs Fagiano Okayama5–1W
4 Apr@ Gamba Osaka0–2L
18 Mar@ V-varen Nagasaki2–1W
14 Marvs Cerezo Osaka1–2L
8 Mar@ Fagiano Okayama0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Shimizu S-pulse – last 6

LLWLWW
29 Aprvs V-varen Nagasaki1–2L
25 Aprvs Nagoya Grampus0–2L
5 Apr@ V-varen Nagasaki3–0W
1 Apr@ Vissel Kobe0–2L
22 Marvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima3–1W
21 Febvs Vissel Kobe1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Shimizu S-pulse v Kyoto Sanga1–1
Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT FC Tokyo2 Kawasaki Frontale0 158%1.90X23%3.60219%3.75 2.0–1.0xG 1XFC Tokyo or draw 81%@1.25 ✓
– Yokohama F. Marinos1 Mito Hollyhock1 150%2.20X24%3.20226%3.25 1.9–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.38
FT Urawa2 JEF United Chiba0 157%1.68X23%3.65219%5.00 1.9–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse?

On our numbers Kyoto Sanga have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shimizu S-pulse 26%.

How many goals will there be in Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Our predicted score is Kyoto Sanga 1–0 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse?

Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.