Águila vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza travel to face Águila on Thursday 19 February in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Águila are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 19 matches; Alianza are 7th (lower half) with 26.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Águila 1.6 xG, Alianza 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Águila 45%, draw 25%, Alianza 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águila 1–1 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Águila45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
Alianza30%fair 3.31 · @3.00
2.87Expected goals
1.65Águila xG
1.22Alianza xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Águila 1.6 – 1.2 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Águila
Alianza
Attack vs Primera Division average
+34%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.93
1.28
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águila to win✗
45%
2.24
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Draw no bet
Águila (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Alianza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Águila to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águila / FT Águila✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Águila
No recent results on record.
Alianza – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ FAS
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águila and Alianza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Águila vs Alianza?
On our numbers Águila have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alianza 30%.
How many goals will there be in Águila vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águila vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is Águila 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Águila vs Alianza?
Águila vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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