Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlianza to win ✓54% · @1.50
Double chanceAlianza or draw ✓79% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Zacatecoluca vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Sunday 1 March: Zacatecoluca v Alianza in the Primera Division.
Current form
Alianza, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Municipal Limeño, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zacatecoluca 1.1 xG, Alianza 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zacatecoluca 21%, draw 24%, Alianza 54%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zacatecoluca 1–1 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zacatecoluca21%fair 4.74 · @5.60
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.90
Alianza54%fair 1.84 · @1.50
2.68Expected goals
1.11Zacatecoluca xG
1.57Alianza xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zacatecoluca 1.1 – 1.6 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Zacatecoluca
Alianza
Attack vs Primera Division average
-2%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.42
1.46
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✓
54%
1.84
1.50
Double chance
Alianza or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Alianza (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Zacatecoluca +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Alianza to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✓
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Zacatecoluca – last 2
DL
22 Feb
@ Fuerte San Francisco
2–2
D
19 Feb
@ Municipal Limeño
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Alianza – last 3
WWL
22 Feb
vs Municipal Limeño
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Águila
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ FAS
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zacatecoluca and Alianza.
What is the prediction for Zacatecoluca vs Alianza?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Zacatecoluca vs Alianza?
On our numbers Zacatecoluca have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alianza 54%.
How many goals will there be in Zacatecoluca vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zacatecoluca vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is Zacatecoluca 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Zacatecoluca vs Alianza?
Zacatecoluca vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
