Value bet: Inter to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlianza to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.89
Inter vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Inter v Alianza in the Primera Division. In the table, Inter are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 19 matches; Alianza are 7th (lower half) with 26. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Inter, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Zacatecoluca, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Alianza, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Zacatecoluca, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Alianza, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Inter.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Inter 1.2 xG, Alianza 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Inter 32%, draw 28%, Alianza 40%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Inter to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter 1–1 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Inter32%fair 3.09 · @3.70
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.90
Alianza40%fair 2.53 · @2.00
2.43Expected goals
1.24Inter xG
1.19Alianza xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Inter 1.2 – 1.2 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Inter
Alianza
Attack vs Primera Division average
-10%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.30
0.99
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✗
40%
2.53
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Alianza (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Alianza +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Inter to score first✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✓
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.89
–
Recent results
Inter – last 6
WLDLLW
8 Mar
vs Zacatecoluca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Municipal Limeño
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Águila
0–1
L
19 Feb
@ FAS
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Hércules
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alianza – last 6
DWWWWL
13 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Fuerte San Francisco
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Municipal Limeño
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Águila
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ FAS
1–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Alianza.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Inter vs Alianza?
On our numbers Inter have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Alianza 40%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is Inter 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Alianza?
Inter vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zacatecoluca0
Hércules0