Alianza vs Cacahuatique: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza welcome Cacahuatique for a Primera Division fixture on Thursday 19 March (02:00 WAT). In the table, Alianza are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; Cacahuatique are 9th (lower half) with 20.
Current form
Alianza, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inter, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cacahuatique, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Firpo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alianza, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Cacahuatique.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.6 xG, Cacahuatique 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 57%, draw 25%, Cacahuatique 18%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–0 Cacahuatique. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza57%fair 1.76 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.70
Cacahuatique18%fair 5.51 · @5.75
2.57Expected goals
1.63Alianza xG
0.94Cacahuatique xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.6 – 0.9 Cacahuatique expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza
Cacahuatique
Attack vs Primera Division average
-1%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.48
1.04
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✓
57%
1.76
1.53
Double chance
Alianza or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Alianza (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Cacahuatique +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Alianza to score first
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Alianza – last 6
LDWWWW
15 Mar
@ Inter
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Fuerte San Francisco
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Municipal Limeño
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Águila
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cacahuatique – last 4
LLWD
25 Feb
vs Firpo
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FAS
0–1
L
18 Feb
@ Hércules
3–1
W
15 Feb
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Cacahuatique.
What is the prediction for Alianza vs Cacahuatique?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Alianza vs Cacahuatique?
On our numbers Alianza have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cacahuatique 18%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Cacahuatique?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Cacahuatique?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–0 Cacahuatique, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Cacahuatique?
Alianza vs Cacahuatique (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hércules0