Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultÁguila to win ✓57% · @1.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Hércules vs Águila: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hércules welcome Águila for a Primera Division fixture on Thursday 26 March (02:30 WAT).
Current form
Hércules, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FAS, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Águila, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Isidro Metapán, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Águila, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Hércules.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hércules 1.3 xG, Águila 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hércules 22%, draw 21%, Águila 57%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hércules 1–1 Águila. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hércules22%fair 4.53 · @6.75
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.20
Águila57%fair 1.77 · @1.40
3.14Expected goals
1.28Hércules xG
1.86Águila xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hércules 1.3 – 1.9 Águila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hércules
Águila
Attack vs Primera Division average
+5%
+34%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.58
1.81
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águila to win✓
57%
1.77
1.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.67
Draw no bet
Águila (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Hércules +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Águila to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Águila ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águila / FT Águila✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Hércules – last 5
LDLLL
19 Mar
@ FAS
0–4
L
8 Mar
@ Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Firpo
2–3
L
18 Feb
vs Cacahuatique
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Inter
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Águila – last 4
DWWL
18 Mar
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Fuerte San Francisco
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Inter
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs Alianza
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hércules and Águila.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Hércules vs Águila?
On our numbers Hércules have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Águila 57%.
How many goals will there be in Hércules vs Águila?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hércules vs Águila?
Our predicted score is Hércules 1–1 Águila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hércules vs Águila?
Hércules vs Águila (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
