Isidro Metapán vs Alianza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Isidro Metapán welcome Alianza for a Primera Division fixture on Thursday 2 April (02:00 WAT). In the table, Isidro Metapán are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 19 matches; Alianza are 7th (lower half) with 26.
Current form
Isidro Metapán, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Zacatecoluca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Alianza, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Platense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Alianza, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Isidro Metapán.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Isidro Metapán 1.3 xG, Alianza 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Isidro Metapán 37%, draw 28%, Alianza 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Isidro Metapán 1–1 Alianza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Isidro Metapán37%fair 2.67 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.00
Alianza35%fair 2.88 · @2.50
2.45Expected goals
1.29Isidro Metapán xG
1.16Alianza xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Isidro Metapán 1.3 – 1.2 Alianza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Isidro Metapán
Alianza
Attack vs Primera Division average
-10%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.05
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Isidro Metapán to win✗
37%
2.67
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Draw no bet
Isidro Metapán (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Alianza +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Isidro Metapán to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Isidro Metapán / FT Isidro Metapán✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.99
–
Recent results
Isidro Metapán – last 6
DWDLDD
29 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Municipal Limeño
1–0
W
18 Mar
@ Águila
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs FAS
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Hércules
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Inter
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alianza – last 6
DWLDWW
29 Mar
vs Platense
3–3
D
19 Mar
vs Cacahuatique
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Inter
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
3–3
D
8 Mar
vs Fuerte San Francisco
3–2
W
1 Mar
@ Zacatecoluca
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Isidro Metapán and Alianza.
What is the prediction for Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?
On our numbers Isidro Metapán have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Alianza 35%.
How many goals will there be in Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?
Our predicted score is Isidro Metapán 1–1 Alianza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Isidro Metapán vs Alianza?
Isidro Metapán vs Alianza (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
