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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fuerte San Francisco v Municipal Limeño: numbers & prediction

Primera Division · El-Salvador
Sun 12 Apr 2026
Fuerte San Francisco 28%Draw 26%Municipal Limeño 46% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.56
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.36

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultMunicipal Limeño to win46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.84

Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Fuerte San Francisco v Municipal Limeño in the Primera Division. In the table, Fuerte San Francisco are 12th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 20 matches; Municipal Limeño are 8th (lower half) with 23.

Current form

Fuerte San Francisco, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Platense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Municipal Limeño, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with El Roble, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Municipal Limeño, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Fuerte San Francisco.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Municipal Limeño 5–0 Fuerte San Francisco.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fuerte San Francisco 1.2 xG, Municipal Limeño 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fuerte San Francisco 28%, draw 26%, Municipal Limeño 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fuerte San Francisco 1–1 Municipal Limeño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fuerte San Francisco28%fair 3.57 · @3.55
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.00
Municipal Limeño46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
2.78Expected goals
1.22Fuerte San Francisco xG
1.56Municipal Limeño xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Fuerte San Francisco 1.2 – 1.6 Municipal Limeño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Fuerte San FranciscoMunicipal Limeño
Attack vs Primera Division average-14%+16%
Goals conceded vs average+21%+16%
Our expected goals here1.461.76

Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMunicipal Limeño to win46%2.172.05
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.801.80
Draw no betMunicipal Limeño (draw no bet)62%1.61–
Asian handicapFuerte San Francisco +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.381.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.941.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.381.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals85%1.18–
First team to scoreMunicipal Limeño to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Municipal Limeño / FT Municipal Limeño27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.84–

Recent results

Fuerte San Francisco – last 6

DDLDLL
9 Apr@ Platense1–1D
1 Apr@ Águila1–1D
23 Mar@ FAS1–3L
18 Marvs Inter0–0D
8 Mar@ Alianza2–3L
26 Febvs Águila0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Municipal Limeño – last 6

DWLLWW
10 Apr@ El Roble0–0D
5 Aprvs Águila2–0W
2 Apr@ FAS0–2L
22 Mar@ Isidro Metapán0–1L
19 Marvs Platense2–0W
15 Marvs Firpo2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Municipal Limeño v Fuerte San Francisco5–0
Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño head-to-head page →

Primera Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Firpo201172+2040
2FAS19964+1033
3Isidro Metapán19955+532
4Águila19865+930
5Inter19694+727
6Platense19766+327
7Alianza19685026
8Municipal Limeño20659-123
9Cacahuatique20488-820
10Atletico Balboa19559-1020
11Inca Aruba194510-1917
12Fuerte San Francisco202810-1614

More Primera Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño?

On our numbers Fuerte San Francisco have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Municipal Limeño 46%.

How many goals will there be in Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño?

Our predicted score is Fuerte San Francisco 1–1 Municipal Limeño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño?

Fuerte San Francisco vs Municipal Limeño (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.