Alianza vs Águila: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alianza welcome Águila for a Primera Division fixture on Thursday 16 April (02:30 WAT). In the table, Alianza are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 19 matches; Águila are 4th (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Alianza, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FAS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Águila, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Municipal Limeño, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Feb 2026) it ended Águila 0–3 Alianza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza 1.4 xG, Águila 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza 39%, draw 25%, Águila 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza 1–1 Águila. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza39%fair 2.58 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.20
Águila36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
2.82Expected goals
1.40Alianza xG
1.42Águila xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–18%
1–28%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.4 – 1.4 Águila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza
Águila
Attack vs Primera Division average
-1%
+34%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.50
1.65
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alianza vs Águila?
On our numbers Alianza have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Águila 36%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Águila?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Águila?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Águila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Águila?
Alianza vs Águila (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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