Firpo travel to face Águila on Friday 1 May in the Primera Division – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Águila are 4th, among the top four, on 30 points after 19 matches; Firpo are 1st (leading the league) with 40.
Current form
Águila, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Izalco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Firpo, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FAS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Águila 1.3 xG, Firpo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Águila 35%, draw 27%, Firpo 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águila 1–1 Firpo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Águila35%fair 2.88 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.95
Firpo38%fair 2.60 · @2.75
2.72Expected goals
1.29Águila xG
1.43Firpo xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Águila 1.3 – 1.4 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Águila
Firpo
Attack vs Primera Division average
+34%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-33%
Our expected goals here
1.31
1.54
Our own ratings from every Primera Division result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✗
38%
2.60
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Draw no bet
Firpo (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Águila +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Firpo to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Águila – last 6
WWLDWD
22 Apr
vs Izalco
4–1
W
16 Apr
@ Alianza
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Municipal Limeño
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Fuerte San Francisco
1–1
D
26 Mar
@ Hércules
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Isidro Metapán
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Firpo – last 6
DWLWWW
26 Apr
vs FAS
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Batanecos
3–0
W
16 Apr
vs Isidro Metapán
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Batanecos
2–0
W
2 Apr
vs Cacahuatique
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Inter
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águila and Firpo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Águila vs Firpo?
On our numbers Águila have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Firpo 38%.
How many goals will there be in Águila vs Firpo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águila vs Firpo?
Our predicted score is Águila 1–1 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Águila vs Firpo?
Águila vs Firpo (Primera Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
