Value bet: Sportivo Trinidense to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.49
Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Libertad Asuncion travel to face Sportivo Trinidense on Sunday 15 February in the Division Profesional Apertura, with Estadio Martin Torres the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Trinidense 1.3 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Trinidense 34%, draw 27%, Libertad Asuncion 39%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sportivo Trinidense to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Trinidense34%fair 2.95 · @3.60
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.00
Libertad Asuncion39%fair 2.55 · @2.05
2.61Expected goals
1.33Sportivo Trinidense xG
1.28Libertad Asuncion xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.3 – 1.3 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win
39%
2.55
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Libertad Asuncion (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Libertad Asuncion +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Sportivo Trinidense to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Trinidense / FT Sportivo Trinidense
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.49
–
Recent results
Sportivo Trinidense
No recent results on record.
Libertad Asuncion
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Trinidense and Libertad Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Libertad Asuncion 39%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Martin Torres
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