Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCerro Porteno to win38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.61
Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Cerro Porteno v Olimpia in the Division Profesional Apertura, played at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Porteno 1.2 xG, Olimpia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Porteno 38%, draw 27%, Olimpia 35%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.78.
Price worth noting: Olimpia to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Porteno 1–1 Olimpia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Porteno38%fair 2.64 · @2.10
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Olimpia35%fair 2.82 · @3.10
2.51Expected goals
1.24Cerro Porteno xG
1.27Olimpia xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.2 – 1.3 Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win
38%
2.64
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.36
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.74
1.78
Draw no bet
Cerro Porteno (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Porteno +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Olimpia to score first
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpia / FT Olimpia
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.61
–
Recent results
Cerro Porteno – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Olimpia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerro Porteno and Olimpia.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Olimpia 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–1 Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia?
Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Pablo Rojas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio General Pablo Rojas
2 de Mayo0
Deportivo Recoleta1