Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sportivo Ameliano to win @ 3.70 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓44% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerro Porteno travel to face Sportivo Ameliano on Wednesday 25 February in the Division Profesional Apertura, with Estadio Jose Tomas Silva the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Ameliano 1.0 xG, Cerro Porteno 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Ameliano 29%, draw 27%, Cerro Porteno 44%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sportivo Ameliano to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Cerro Porteno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Ameliano29%fair 3.43 · @3.70
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.20
Cerro Porteno44%fair 2.28 · @1.98
2.27Expected goals
1.01Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.26Cerro Porteno xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 1.0 – 1.3 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✓
44%
2.28
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Cerro Porteno (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Ameliano +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Cerro Porteno to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
Sportivo Ameliano – last 2
DW
20 Feb
@ Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs 2 de Mayo
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cerro Porteno – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Ameliano and Cerro Porteno.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cerro Porteno 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?
Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Tomas Silva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Jose Tomas Silva
