Value bet: Sportivo Trinidense to win @ 2.36 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Trinidense to win ✗47% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sportivo Luqueno travel to face Sportivo Trinidense on Thursday 26 February in the Division Profesional Apertura, with Estadio Martin Torres the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Trinidense 1.6 xG, Sportivo Luqueno 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Trinidense 47%, draw 25%, Sportivo Luqueno 28%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sportivo Trinidense to win @2.36 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Trinidense47%fair 2.14 · @2.36
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Sportivo Luqueno28%fair 3.58 · @2.98
2.64Expected goals
1.60Sportivo Trinidense xG
1.03Sportivo Luqueno xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.6 – 1.0 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Trinidense to win✗
47%
2.14
2.36 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Sportivo Trinidense (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Luqueno +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sportivo Trinidense to score first
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Trinidense / FT Sportivo Trinidense✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Sportivo Trinidense – last 1
D
19 Feb
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sportivo Luqueno – last 1
W
23 Feb
vs Club Guarani
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Trinidense and Sportivo Luqueno.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Luqueno 28%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Martin Torres
Olimpia1
Libertad Asuncion0
Rubio NU2
Club Sp. San Lorenzo0