Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓65% · @1.29
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerro Porteno welcome Deportivo Recoleta to General Pablo Rojas for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Monday 2 March (00:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Porteno 1.8 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Porteno 65%, draw 21%, Deportivo Recoleta 13%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Porteno 2–0 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cerro Porteno65%fair 1.53 · @1.29
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.60
Deportivo Recoleta13%fair 7.46 · @10.25
2.57Expected goals
1.77Cerro Porteno xG
0.80Deportivo Recoleta xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.8 – 0.8 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerro Porteno to win✓
65%
1.53
1.29
Double chance
Cerro Porteno or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Cerro Porteno (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Porteno -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Cerro Porteno to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Cerro Porteno ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Cerro Porteno – last 2
WL
25 Feb
@ Sportivo Ameliano
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Recoleta – last 2
DW
27 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerro Porteno and Deportivo Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Deportivo Recoleta 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 2–0 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Cerro Porteno vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at General Pablo Rojas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · General Pablo Rojas
Sportivo Luqueno0
Rubio NU1