Nacional Asuncion 45%Draw 28%Club Guarani 26%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.94
74%
Betarazi pick
Nacional Asuncion or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultNacional Asuncion to win45% · @2.20
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.80
Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Division Profesional Apertura brings Nacional Asuncion against Club Guarani at Estadio Arsenio Erico. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT.
Current form
Nacional Asuncion, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo Recoleta, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Club Guarani, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Juventud, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nacional Asuncion, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Club Guarani.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nacional Asuncion 1.5 xG, Club Guarani 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional Asuncion 45%, draw 28%, Club Guarani 26%.
Lower-risk option: Nacional Asuncion or draw (74%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nacional Asuncion or draw (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Club Guarani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nacional Asuncion45%fair 2.20 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.10
Club Guarani26%fair 3.80 · @3.20
2.45Expected goals
1.52Nacional Asuncion xG
0.94Club Guarani xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.5 – 0.9 Club Guarani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional Asuncion to win
45%
2.20
2.20
Double chance
Nacional Asuncion or draw
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Nacional Asuncion (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Club Guarani +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Nacional Asuncion to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Nacional Asuncion – last 3
DDW
27 Feb
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Cerro Porteno
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Guarani – last 3
LLD
26 Feb
vs Juventud
1–2
L
23 Feb
@ Sportivo Luqueno
2–3
L
19 Feb
@ Juventud
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional Asuncion and Club Guarani.
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Our pick is Nacional Asuncion or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Club Guarani 26%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Club Guarani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani?
Nacional Asuncion vs Club Guarani (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Arsenio Erico
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Sportivo Trinidense0