Club Sp. San Lorenzo 20%Draw 26%Libertad Asuncion 54%Expected goals 0.89 – 1.60
80%
Betarazi pick
Libertad Asuncion or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓54% · @1.88
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Tuesday 3 March: Club Sp. San Lorenzo v Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional Apertura, played at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.9 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Sp. San Lorenzo 20%, draw 26%, Libertad Asuncion 54%.
Lower-risk option: Libertad Asuncion or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Libertad Asuncion or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo20%fair 5.12 · @3.95
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.30
Libertad Asuncion54%fair 1.85 · @1.88
2.49Expected goals
0.89Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.60Libertad Asuncion xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.9 – 1.6 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
54%
1.85
1.88
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Libertad Asuncion (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Club Sp. San Lorenzo +1 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Libertad Asuncion to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✓
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 2
LD
26 Feb
@ Rubio NU
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion – last 2
LL
26 Feb
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Libertad Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Libertad Asuncion 54%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Gunther Vogel
