Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓56% · @1.80
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Libertad Asuncion welcome Sportivo Luqueno to Estadio Tigo La Huerta for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Sunday 8 March (00:30 WAT).
Current form
Libertad Asuncion, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Club Sp. San Lorenzo, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Sportivo Luqueno, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rubio NU, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.8 xG, Sportivo Luqueno 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 56%, draw 24%, Sportivo Luqueno 20%.
Lower-risk option: Libertad Asuncion or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Libertad Asuncion or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad Asuncion56%fair 1.80 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.60
Sportivo Luqueno20%fair 4.88 · @3.90
2.76Expected goals
1.78Libertad Asuncion xG
0.98Sportivo Luqueno xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.8 – 1.0 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Libertad Asuncion (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Luqueno +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Libertad Asuncion to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Libertad Asuncion ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Libertad Asuncion – last 3
WLL
3 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7–0
W
26 Feb
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sportivo Luqueno – last 3
LDW
2 Mar
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Club Guarani
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Sportivo Luqueno.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sportivo Luqueno 20%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo