Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Recoleta to win ✗38% · @2.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 10 March the Division Profesional Apertura brings Deportivo Recoleta against Sportivo Ameliano at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.
Current form
Deportivo Recoleta, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cerro Porteno, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sportivo Ameliano, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cerro Porteno, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Recoleta 1.3 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Recoleta 38%, draw 26%, Sportivo Ameliano 36%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Recoleta38%fair 2.66 · @2.92
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.05
Sportivo Ameliano36%fair 2.78 · @2.38
2.44Expected goals
1.27Deportivo Recoleta xG
1.17Sportivo Ameliano xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Recoleta 1.3 – 1.2 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Recoleta to win✗
38%
2.66
2.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Recoleta (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Ameliano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Deportivo Recoleta to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Recoleta / FT Deportivo Recoleta✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Deportivo Recoleta – last 3
LDW
2 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
27 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ 2 de Mayo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sportivo Ameliano – last 3
LDW
25 Feb
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs 2 de Mayo
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Recoleta and Sportivo Ameliano.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Deportivo Recoleta have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Ameliano 36%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roque F. Batelhana.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Roque F. Batelhana
