Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 9 March the Division Profesional Apertura brings Sportivo Trinidense against Nacional Asuncion at Estadio Martin Torres. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT.
Current form
Sportivo Trinidense, last 4: LLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olimpia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Nacional Asuncion, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo Recoleta, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nacional Asuncion, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Sportivo Trinidense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Trinidense 1.0 xG, Nacional Asuncion 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Trinidense 30%, draw 28%, Nacional Asuncion 42%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Trinidense30%fair 3.32 · @3.15
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.05
Nacional Asuncion42%fair 2.37 · @2.25
2.29Expected goals
1.01Sportivo Trinidense xG
1.29Nacional Asuncion xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.0 – 1.3 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional Asuncion to win✗
42%
2.37
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Nacional Asuncion (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Trinidense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Nacional Asuncion to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Sportivo Trinidense – last 4
LLDD
5 Mar
vs Olimpia
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nacional Asuncion – last 3
DDW
27 Feb
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Cerro Porteno
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Trinidense and Nacional Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nacional Asuncion 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Martin Torres
Rubio NU0
2 de Mayo1