Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓51% · @1.82
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Saturday 14 March: 2 de Mayo v Libertad Asuncion in the Division Profesional Apertura, played at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Current form
2 de Mayo, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rubio NU, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Libertad Asuncion, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sportivo Luqueno, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 2 de Mayo 1.0 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 2 de Mayo 22%, draw 27%, Libertad Asuncion 51%.
Lower-risk option: Libertad Asuncion or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Libertad Asuncion or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: 2 de Mayo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
2 de Mayo22%fair 4.54 · @4.30
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.30
Libertad Asuncion51%fair 1.96 · @1.82
2.36Expected goals
0.962 de Mayo xG
1.40Libertad Asuncion xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
0–29%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: 2 de Mayo 1.0 – 1.4 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
51%
1.96
1.82
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Libertad Asuncion (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
2 de Mayo +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Libertad Asuncion to score first✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✓
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
2 de Mayo – last 5
WWLDL
9 Mar
@ Rubio NU
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Sportivo Trinidense
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Deportivo Recoleta
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Sporting Cristal
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion – last 4
WWLL
8 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7–0
W
26 Feb
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 2 de Mayo and Libertad Asuncion.
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers 2 de Mayo have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Libertad Asuncion 51%.
How many goals will there be in 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is 2 de Mayo 0–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is 2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion?
2 de Mayo vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Monumental Rio Parapiti
Deportivo Recoleta
Olimpia