Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Luqueno to win ✗56% · @1.71
Double chanceSportivo Luqueno or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:30 WAT, Friday 13 March: Sportivo Luqueno v Club Sp. San Lorenzo in the Division Profesional Apertura.
Current form
Sportivo Luqueno, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Libertad Asuncion, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Libertad Asuncion, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sportivo Luqueno, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Luqueno 1.7 xG, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Luqueno 56%, draw 26%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 18%.
Lower-risk option: Sportivo Luqueno or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Luqueno56%fair 1.80 · @1.71
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.10
Club Sp. San Lorenzo18%fair 5.49 · @5.40
2.63Expected goals
1.70Sportivo Luqueno xG
0.94Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sportivo Luqueno 1.7 – 0.9 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Luqueno to win✗
56%
1.80
1.71
Double chance
Sportivo Luqueno or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Sportivo Luqueno (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Club Sp. San Lorenzo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sportivo Luqueno to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Luqueno / FT Sportivo Luqueno✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Sportivo Luqueno – last 4
LLDW
8 Mar
@ Libertad Asuncion
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Rubio NU
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Club Guarani
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 3
LLD
3 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–7
L
26 Feb
@ Rubio NU
0–2
L
19 Feb
vs Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Luqueno and Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Sportivo Luqueno have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?
Sportivo Luqueno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay
