Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sportivo Trinidense to win @ 2.72 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Trinidense to win ✗42% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Friday 20 March: Sportivo Trinidense v Sportivo Ameliano in the Division Profesional Apertura, played at Estadio Martin Torres.
Current form
Sportivo Trinidense, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cerro Porteno, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Club Guarani, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sportivo Ameliano, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Sportivo Trinidense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Trinidense 1.3 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Trinidense 42%, draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 30%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sportivo Trinidense to win @2.72 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Trinidense 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Trinidense42%fair 2.39 · @2.72
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.75
Sportivo Ameliano30%fair 3.30 · @2.78
2.31Expected goals
1.33Sportivo Trinidense xG
0.97Sportivo Ameliano xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Sportivo Trinidense 1.3 – 1.0 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Trinidense to win✗
42%
2.39
2.72 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Sportivo Trinidense (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Ameliano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Sportivo Trinidense to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Trinidense / FT Sportivo Trinidense✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Sportivo Trinidense – last 6
LDLLDD
15 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Olimpia
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sportivo Ameliano – last 5
DDLDW
16 Mar
vs Club Guarani
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs 2 de Mayo
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Trinidense and Sportivo Ameliano.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Sportivo Trinidense have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sportivo Ameliano 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Trinidense 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Martin Torres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Martin Torres
