Rubio NU 35%Draw 28%Sportivo Ameliano 37%Expected goals 1.09 – 1.15
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Ameliano to win ✓37% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 13.06
Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 24 March the Division Profesional Apertura brings Rubio NU against Sportivo Ameliano at Estadio La Arboleda. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.
Current form
Rubio NU, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cerro Porteno, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sportivo Trinidense, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rubio NU, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.2 for Sportivo Ameliano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rubio NU 1.1 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rubio NU 35%, draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubio NU 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rubio NU35%fair 2.85 · @2.78
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.82
Sportivo Ameliano37%fair 2.72 · @2.66
2.24Expected goals
1.09Rubio NU xG
1.15Sportivo Ameliano xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Rubio NU 1.1 – 1.1 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Ameliano to win✓
37%
2.72
2.66
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Sportivo Ameliano (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Rubio NU +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sportivo Ameliano to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Ameliano / FT Sportivo Ameliano✓
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
13.06
–
Recent results
Rubio NU – last 5
WLWWW
18 Mar
vs Cerro Porteno
2–0
W
9 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sportivo Ameliano – last 6
DDDLDW
20 Mar
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Club Guarani
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs 2 de Mayo
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rubio NU and Sportivo Ameliano.
What is the prediction for Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Rubio NU have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sportivo Ameliano 37%.
How many goals will there be in Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Rubio NU 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Rubio NU vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Arboleda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.