Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.10
Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 March the Division Profesional Apertura brings Sportivo Ameliano against Libertad Asuncion at Estadio Ameliano Villeta. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.
Current form
Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rubio NU, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cerro Porteno, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Libertad Asuncion, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Sportivo Ameliano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Ameliano 1.1 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Ameliano 31%, draw 27%, Libertad Asuncion 42%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Ameliano31%fair 3.21 · @3.05
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.05
Libertad Asuncion42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
2.37Expected goals
1.10Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.27Libertad Asuncion xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 1.1 – 1.3 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✗
42%
2.40
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.93
Draw no bet
Libertad Asuncion (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Ameliano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Libertad Asuncion to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.10
–
Recent results
Sportivo Ameliano – last 6
WDDDLD
24 Mar
@ Rubio NU
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Club Guarani
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Cerro Porteno
0–1
L
20 Feb
@ Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
LWWWWL
22 Mar
vs Cerro Porteno
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7–0
W
26 Feb
@ Olimpia
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Ameliano and Libertad Asuncion.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad Asuncion?
On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Libertad Asuncion 42%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad Asuncion?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ameliano Villeta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Ameliano Villeta
Olimpia
2 de Mayo