Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓82% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 31 March the Division Profesional Apertura brings Libertad Asuncion against Deportivo Recoleta at Estadio Tigo La Huerta. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.
Current form
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sportivo Ameliano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rubio NU, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Libertad Asuncion, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Recoleta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.7 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 56%, draw 26%, Deportivo Recoleta 18%.
Lower-risk option: Libertad Asuncion or draw (82%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad Asuncion56%fair 1.80 · @1.79
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.88
Deportivo Recoleta18%fair 5.45 · @5.40
2.68Expected goals
1.71Libertad Asuncion xG
0.97Deportivo Recoleta xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.7 – 1.0 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
56%
1.80
1.79
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.83
Draw no bet
Libertad Asuncion (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Recoleta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Libertad Asuncion to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
LLWWWW
28 Mar
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Cerro Porteno
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ 2 de Mayo
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
7–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Recoleta – last 6
WLLDLD
27 Mar
vs Rubio NU
1–0
W
23 Mar
@ Sportivo Trinidense
2–3
L
19 Mar
@ Club Guarani
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
27 Feb
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Deportivo Recoleta.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Recoleta 18%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Libertad Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
2 de Mayo1
Nacional Asuncion1