Value bet: Sportivo Trinidense to win @ 3.65 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗44% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 13 April the Division Profesional Apertura brings Libertad Asuncion against Sportivo Trinidense at Estadio Tigo La Huerta. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT.
Current form
Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to UCV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sportivo Trinidense, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Rubio NU, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Sportivo Trinidense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Libertad Asuncion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.4 xG, Sportivo Trinidense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 44%, draw 26%, Sportivo Trinidense 30%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sportivo Trinidense to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad Asuncion44%fair 2.29 · @1.98
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
Sportivo Trinidense30%fair 3.30 · @3.65
2.50Expected goals
1.37Libertad Asuncion xG
1.13Sportivo Trinidense xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.4 – 1.1 Sportivo Trinidense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✗
44%
2.29
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Libertad Asuncion (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Trinidense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Libertad Asuncion to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
LLWLLW
9 Apr
@ UCV
1–3
L
6 Apr
@ Club Guarani
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
1–0
W
28 Mar
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Cerro Porteno
2–3
L
19 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sportivo Trinidense – last 6
WWWDLD
7 Apr
vs Rubio NU
4–0
W
2 Apr
vs Olimpia
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
3–2
W
20 Mar
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Sportivo Trinidense.
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Trinidense 30%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
