Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Club Sp. San Lorenzo v Club Guarani in the Division Profesional Apertura, played at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Current form
Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Deportivo Recoleta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Club Guarani, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Libertad Asuncion, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Club Guarani, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.9 xG, Club Guarani 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Sp. San Lorenzo 24%, draw 27%, Club Guarani 49%.
Lower-risk option: Club Guarani or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Club Guarani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.25
Club Guarani49%fair 2.04 · @1.98
2.36Expected goals
0.90Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.46Club Guarani xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.9 – 1.5 Club Guarani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Guarani to win✗
49%
2.04
1.98
Double chance
Club Guarani or draw✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Draw no bet
Club Guarani (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
Club Sp. San Lorenzo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Club Guarani to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Guarani / FT Club Guarani✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.03
–
Recent results
Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 6
LLLDDL
5 Apr
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–4
L
1 Apr
vs Sportivo Ameliano
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Sportivo Luqueno
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
0–7
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Club Guarani – last 6
WWDWDL
6 Apr
vs Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Rubio NU
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs 2 de Mayo
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Deportivo Recoleta
3–1
W
16 Mar
@ Sportivo Ameliano
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Juventud
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Club Guarani.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Club Guarani 49%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Club Guarani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Gunther Vogel
