Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Nacional Asuncion to win @ 2.78 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✗39% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sportivo Ameliano welcome Nacional Asuncion to Estadio Jose Tomas Silva for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Tuesday 21 April (00:30 WAT).
Current form
Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over 2 de Mayo, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Nacional Asuncion, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cerro Porteno, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sportivo Ameliano, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Nacional Asuncion.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Nacional Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Ameliano 0.9 xG, Nacional Asuncion 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Ameliano 33%, draw 28%, Nacional Asuncion 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Nacional Asuncion to win @2.78 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Nacional Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Ameliano33%fair 3.07 · @2.60
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @2.90
Nacional Asuncion39%fair 2.55 · @2.78
2.21Expected goals
0.94Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.27Nacional Asuncion xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 0.9 – 1.3 Nacional Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Nacional Asuncion 39%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Nacional Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Tomas Silva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Jose Tomas Silva
