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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rubio NU v Libertad Asuncion: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · La Arboleda
3–0
FT
Rubio NU 21%Draw 27%Libertad Asuncion 52% Expected goals 0.95 – 1.51
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗52% · @1.79
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✗79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.82

Rubio NU vs Libertad Asuncion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 20 April the Division Profesional Apertura brings Rubio NU against Libertad Asuncion at La Arboleda. Kick-off: 22:15 WAT.

Current form

Rubio NU, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Sportivo Trinidense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rosario Central, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 0–1 Rubio NU.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rubio NU 1.0 xG, Libertad Asuncion 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rubio NU 21%, draw 27%, Libertad Asuncion 52%.
  • Lower-risk option: Libertad Asuncion or draw (79%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubio NU 0–1 Libertad Asuncion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rubio NU21%fair 4.66 · @4.45
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.25
Libertad Asuncion52%fair 1.93 · @1.79
2.46Expected goals
0.95Rubio NU xG
1.51Libertad Asuncion xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%

From our goals model: Rubio NU 1.0 – 1.5 Libertad Asuncion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✗52%1.931.79
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✗79%1.271.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.95
Draw no betLibertad Asuncion (draw no bet) ✗71%1.41–
Asian handicapRubio NU +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreLibertad Asuncion to score first ✗56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✗30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.82–

Recent results

Rubio NU – last 6

LLLLWL
7 Apr@ Sportivo Trinidense0–4L
1 Aprvs Club Guarani0–2L
27 Mar@ Deportivo Recoleta0–1L
24 Marvs Sportivo Ameliano1–2L
18 Marvs Cerro Porteno2–0W
9 Marvs 2 de Mayo0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

LDLLWL
15 Aprvs Rosario Central0–1L
13 Aprvs Sportivo Trinidense1–1D
9 Apr@ UCV1–3L
6 Apr@ Club Guarani0–1L
31 Marvs Deportivo Recoleta1–0W
28 Mar@ Sportivo Ameliano0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Libertad Asuncion v Rubio NU0–1
Rubio NU vs Libertad Asuncion head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rubio NU vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Rubio NU vs Libertad Asuncion?

On our numbers Rubio NU have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Libertad Asuncion 52%.

How many goals will there be in Rubio NU vs Libertad Asuncion?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rubio NU vs Libertad Asuncion?

Our predicted score is Rubio NU 0–1 Libertad Asuncion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Rubio NU vs Libertad Asuncion?

Rubio NU vs Libertad Asuncion (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 22:15 (West Africa Time) at La Arboleda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.