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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cerro Porteno v Sportivo Ameliano: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno

WDLWW
1–1
FT

Sportivo Ameliano

DWWWW
Cerro Porteno 55%Draw 26%Sportivo Ameliano 20% Expected goals 1.51 – 0.83
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCerro Porteno to win ✗55% · @1.69
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97

Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cerro Porteno welcome Sportivo Ameliano to General Pablo Rojas for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Saturday 25 April (00:00 WAT).

Current form

Cerro Porteno, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Junior, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nacional Asuncion, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Cerro Porteno.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cerro Porteno 1.5 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cerro Porteno 55%, draw 26%, Sportivo Ameliano 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cerro Porteno 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cerro Porteno55%fair 1.83 · @1.69
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.35
Sportivo Ameliano20%fair 5.07 · @5.00
2.34Expected goals
1.51Cerro Porteno xG
0.83Sportivo Ameliano xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Cerro Porteno 1.5 – 0.8 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCerro Porteno to win ✗55%1.831.69
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓80%1.251.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.992.00
Draw no betCerro Porteno (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapSportivo Ameliano +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreCerro Porteno to score first ✓58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno ✗32%3.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.97–

Recent results

Cerro Porteno – last 6

WDLWWW
14 Aprvs Junior1–0W
12 Apr@ Nacional Asuncion0–0D
9 Apr@ Sporting Cristal0–1L
5 Aprvs 2 de Mayo3–0W
1 Apr@ Sportivo Luqueno3–2W
29 Marvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sportivo Ameliano – last 6

DWWWWD
21 Aprvs Nacional Asuncion1–1D
10 Apr@ 2 de Mayo2–1W
1 Apr@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–1W
28 Marvs Libertad Asuncion2–0W
24 Mar@ Rubio NU2–1W
20 Mar@ Sportivo Trinidense1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Feb 2026Sportivo Ameliano v Cerro Porteno0–1
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

– Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Trinidense 131%2.84X25%3.20243%2.36 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

On our numbers Cerro Porteno have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Ameliano 20%.

How many goals will there be in Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Our predicted score is Cerro Porteno 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at General Pablo Rojas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.