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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Libertad Asuncion v Olimpia: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta

Libertad Asuncion

LLDLL
3–2
FT

Olimpia

DWLWW
Libertad Asuncion 30%Draw 26%Olimpia 43% Expected goals 1.11 – 1.38
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlimpia to win ✗43% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41

Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Olimpia travel to face Libertad Asuncion on Sunday 26 April in the Division Profesional Apertura, with Estadio Tigo La Huerta the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Rubio NU, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Olimpia, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barracas Central, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Olimpia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Libertad Asuncion.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Feb 2026) it ended Olimpia 1–0 Libertad Asuncion.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.1 xG, Olimpia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 30%, draw 26%, Olimpia 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Olimpia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Libertad Asuncion30%fair 3.29 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Olimpia43%fair 2.31 · @2.32
2.50Expected goals
1.11Libertad Asuncion xG
1.38Olimpia xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.1 – 1.4 Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpia to win ✗43%2.312.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.85
Draw no betOlimpia (draw no bet) ✗59%1.70–
Asian handicapLibertad Asuncion +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreOlimpia to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olimpia / FT Olimpia ✗25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.41–

Recent results

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

LLDLLW
20 Apr@ Rubio NU0–3L
15 Aprvs Rosario Central0–1L
13 Aprvs Sportivo Trinidense1–1D
9 Apr@ UCV1–3L
6 Apr@ Club Guarani0–1L
31 Marvs Deportivo Recoleta1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Olimpia – last 6

DWLWWW
16 Aprvs Barracas Central0–0D
9 Apr@ A. Italiano2–0W
2 Apr@ Sportivo Trinidense1–2L
18 Marvs Sportivo Luqueno1–0W
5 Mar@ Sportivo Trinidense1–0W
26 Febvs Libertad Asuncion1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Feb 2026Olimpia v Libertad Asuncion1–0
Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

– 2 de Mayo Club Guarani 129%3.30X29%3.10242%2.16 1.0–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?

On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Olimpia 43%.

How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?

Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia?

Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.