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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Libertad Asuncion v Club Sp. San Lorenzo: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Libertad Asuncion 62%Draw 22%Club Sp. San Lorenzo 16% Expected goals 1.85 – 0.78
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓62% · @1.54
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38

Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Club Sp. San Lorenzo travel to face Libertad Asuncion on Saturday 2 May in the Division Profesional Apertura, with Estadio Tigo La Huerta the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Independiente del Valle, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rubio NU, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–7 Libertad Asuncion.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.9 xG, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 62%, draw 22%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 16%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 2–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Libertad Asuncion62%fair 1.62 · @1.54
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.75
Club Sp. San Lorenzo16%fair 6.13 · @5.75
2.64Expected goals
1.85Libertad Asuncion xG
0.78Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.9 – 0.8 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓62%1.621.54
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓84%1.201.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.95
Draw no betLibertad Asuncion (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapLibertad Asuncion -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreLibertad Asuncion to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultLibertad Asuncion ahead at half-time ✓45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.38–

Recent results

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

LWLLDL
28 Aprvs Independiente del Valle2–3L
26 Aprvs Olimpia3–2W
20 Apr@ Rubio NU0–3L
15 Aprvs Rosario Central0–1L
13 Aprvs Sportivo Trinidense1–1D
9 Apr@ UCV1–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 6

LLWLLL
27 Aprvs Rubio NU0–1L
17 Apr@ Sportivo Trinidense1–2L
11 Aprvs Club Guarani1–0W
5 Apr@ Deportivo Recoleta2–4L
1 Aprvs Sportivo Ameliano1–2L
29 Mar@ Cerro Porteno0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Mar 2026Club Sp. San Lorenzo v Libertad Asuncion0–7
Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 16%.

How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 2–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.