Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Olimpia welcome Sportivo Ameliano to Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Sunday 3 May (13:30 WAT).
Current form
Olimpia, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Vasco DA Gama, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cerro Porteno, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sportivo Ameliano, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Olimpia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia 1.8 xG, Sportivo Ameliano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia 59%, draw 23%, Sportivo Ameliano 18%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpia59%fair 1.69 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.45
Sportivo Ameliano18%fair 5.64 · @4.90
2.59Expected goals
1.77Olimpia xG
0.82Sportivo Ameliano xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.8 – 0.8 Sportivo Ameliano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olimpia to win✗
59%
1.69
1.68
Double chance
Olimpia or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Olimpia (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Olimpia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Olimpia to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Olimpia ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olimpia / FT Olimpia✗
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Olimpia – last 6
LLDWLW
30 Apr
@ Vasco DA Gama
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ Libertad Asuncion
2–3
L
16 Apr
vs Barracas Central
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ A. Italiano
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Sportivo Trinidense
1–2
L
18 Mar
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sportivo Ameliano – last 6
DDWWWW
25 Apr
@ Cerro Porteno
1–1
D
21 Apr
vs Nacional Asuncion
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ 2 de Mayo
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Libertad Asuncion
2–0
W
24 Mar
@ Rubio NU
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olimpia and Sportivo Ameliano.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sportivo Ameliano 18%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–0 Sportivo Ameliano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?
Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Osvaldo Domínguez Dibb
