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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nacional Asuncion v Sportivo Trinidense: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Arsenio Erico

Nacional Asuncion

WDDDW
2–1
FT

Sportivo Trinidense

LWDWW
Nacional Asuncion 47%Draw 27%Sportivo Trinidense 26% Expected goals 1.47 – 0.91
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultNacional Asuncion to win ✓47% · @2.22
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.01

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nacional Asuncion welcome Sportivo Trinidense to Estadio Arsenio Erico for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Sunday 10 May (00:00 WAT).

Current form

Nacional Asuncion, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Club Guarani, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sportivo Trinidense, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to 2 de Mayo, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Sportivo Trinidense, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Nacional Asuncion.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Nacional Asuncion.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nacional Asuncion 1.5 xG, Sportivo Trinidense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional Asuncion 47%, draw 27%, Sportivo Trinidense 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Nacional Asuncion or draw (74%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Trinidense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nacional Asuncion47%fair 2.13 · @2.22
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.05
Sportivo Trinidense26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
2.37Expected goals
1.47Nacional Asuncion xG
0.91Sportivo Trinidense xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Nacional Asuncion 1.5 – 0.9 Sportivo Trinidense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNacional Asuncion to win ✓47%2.132.22
Double chanceNacional Asuncion or draw ✓74%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.80
Draw no betNacional Asuncion (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapSportivo Trinidense +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreNacional Asuncion to score first ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nacional Asuncion / FT Nacional Asuncion ✗30%3.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.01–

Recent results

Nacional Asuncion – last 6

WDDDWL
4 May@ Club Guarani1–0W
21 Apr@ Sportivo Ameliano1–1D
12 Aprvs Cerro Porteno0–0D
31 Mar@ 2 de Mayo1–1D
27 Marvs Sportivo Luqueno3–2W
19 Mar@ Libertad Asuncion1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sportivo Trinidense – last 6

LWDWWW
1 Mayvs 2 de Mayo1–2L
17 Aprvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo2–1W
13 Apr@ Libertad Asuncion1–1D
7 Aprvs Rubio NU4–0W
2 Aprvs Olimpia2–1W
23 Marvs Deportivo Recoleta3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Mar 2026Sportivo Trinidense v Nacional Asuncion1–1
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense head-to-head page →

More Division Profesional Apertura predictions

– Club Sp. San Lorenzo Olimpia 113%5.70X22%3.85265%1.53 0.8–2.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

On our numbers Nacional Asuncion have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sportivo Trinidense 26%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Our predicted score is Nacional Asuncion 1–0 Sportivo Trinidense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arsenio Erico.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.