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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Club Sp. San Lorenzo v Sportivo Luqueno: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Apertura · Paraguay · Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 31%Draw 26%Sportivo Luqueno 43% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.44
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultSportivo Luqueno to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Club Sp. San Lorenzo welcome Sportivo Luqueno to Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia for a Division Profesional Apertura fixture on Sunday 17 May (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Libertad Asuncion, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Sportivo Luqueno, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Libertad Asuncion, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Sportivo Luqueno 1–1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.2 xG, Sportivo Luqueno 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Club Sp. San Lorenzo 31%, draw 26%, Sportivo Luqueno 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Club Sp. San Lorenzo31%fair 3.27 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Sportivo Luqueno43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
2.65Expected goals
1.20Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.44Sportivo Luqueno xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.2 – 1.4 Sportivo Luqueno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSportivo Luqueno to win ✗43%2.312.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.70
Draw no betSportivo Luqueno (draw no bet)59%1.71–
Asian handicapClub Sp. San Lorenzo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSportivo Luqueno to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sportivo Luqueno / FT Sportivo Luqueno ✗25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 6

LLLWLL
2 May@ Libertad Asuncion0–5L
27 Aprvs Rubio NU0–1L
17 Apr@ Sportivo Trinidense1–2L
11 Aprvs Club Guarani1–0W
5 Apr@ Deportivo Recoleta2–4L
1 Aprvs Sportivo Ameliano1–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sportivo Luqueno – last 6

LDLLLL
11 Mayvs Libertad Asuncion2–3L
3 May@ Rubio NU0–0D
1 Aprvs Cerro Porteno2–3L
27 Mar@ Nacional Asuncion2–3L
23 Marvs 2 de Mayo0–2L
18 Mar@ Olimpia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Sportivo Luqueno v Club Sp. San Lorenzo1–1
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno?

On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Luqueno 43%.

How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Sportivo Luqueno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno (Division Profesional Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.