Umeå FC 49%Draw 24%Arlanda 26%Expected goals 1.70 – 1.36
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultUmeå FC to win ✗49% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Umeå FC vs Arlanda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arlanda travel to face Umeå FC on Sunday 12 April in the Ettan Norra, with Umea Energi Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Umeå FC are 8th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Arlanda are 3rd (among the top four) with 54.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Umeå FC 1.7 xG, Arlanda 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Umeå FC 49%, draw 24%, Arlanda 26%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Umeå FC 1–1 Arlanda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Umeå FC49%fair 2.03 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.70
Arlanda26%fair 3.79 · @3.80
3.06Expected goals
1.70Umeå FC xG
1.36Arlanda xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 1.7 – 1.4 Arlanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✗
49%
2.03
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Umeå FC (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Arlanda +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Umeå FC to score first✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Umeå FC – last 1
W
6 Apr
@ Hammarby Talang
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Arlanda – last 2
WD
3 Apr
vs Vasalund
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Enköping
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Umeå FC and Arlanda.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Arlanda?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arlanda 26%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs Arlanda?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs Arlanda?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 1–1 Arlanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs Arlanda?
Umeå FC vs Arlanda (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
