Vasalund 37%Draw 24%Umeå FC 38%Expected goals 1.45 – 1.57
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Umeå FC to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUmeå FC to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Vasalund vs Umeå FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Vasalund v Umeå FC in the Ettan Norra, played at Skytteholms IP. In the table, Vasalund are 13th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Umeå FC are 8th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
Vasalund, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arlanda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasalund 1.4 xG, Umeå FC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasalund 37%, draw 24%, Umeå FC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Umeå FC to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasalund 1–1 Umeå FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasalund37%fair 2.69 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Umeå FC38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
3.01Expected goals
1.45Vasalund xG
1.57Umeå FC xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vasalund 1.4 – 1.6 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✗
38%
2.60
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
Umeå FC (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Vasalund +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Umeå FC to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Vasalund – last 6
LLWDWW
3 Apr
@ Arlanda
1–2
L
28 Mar
@ Stocksund
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Enköping
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Hammarby Talang
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Karlberg
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Stocksund
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Umeå FC – last 2
LW
12 Apr
vs Arlanda
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Hammarby Talang
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasalund and Umeå FC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vasalund vs Umeå FC?
On our numbers Vasalund have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Umeå FC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vasalund vs Umeå FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasalund vs Umeå FC?
Our predicted score is Vasalund 1–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Vasalund vs Umeå FC?
Vasalund vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Skytteholms IP.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
