Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultArlanda to win ✗50% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Arlanda vs Karlberg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Karlberg travel to face Arlanda on Wednesday 13 May in the Ettan Norra, with Midgardsvallen the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Karlberg are 10th (lower half) with 37. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arlanda, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sollentuna, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Karlberg, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Umeå FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arlanda, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Karlberg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 2.0 xG, Karlberg 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 50%, draw 22%, Karlberg 28%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 1–1 Karlberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arlanda50%fair 1.99 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
Karlberg28%fair 3.59 · @2.88
3.23Expected goals
1.99Arlanda xG
1.24Karlberg xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Arlanda 2.0 – 1.2 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arlanda to win✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Draw no bet
Arlanda (draw no bet)
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Karlberg +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Arlanda to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Arlanda ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Arlanda – last 6
DWWWWD
9 May
vs Sollentuna
1–1
D
3 May
@ Piteå
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Enköping
7–1
W
12 Apr
@ Umeå FC
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Vasalund
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Enköping
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karlberg – last 6
LWLLWL
3 May
@ Umeå FC
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Assyriska FF
4–3
W
10 Apr
vs Enköping
1–3
L
28 Mar
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Hammarby Talang
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Vasalund
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and Karlberg.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Arlanda vs Karlberg?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Karlberg 28%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 1–1 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Karlberg?
Arlanda vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
