FBK Karlstad 43%Draw 24%Umeå FC 34%Expected goals 1.63 – 1.41
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultFBK Karlstad to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: FBK Karlstad v Umeå FC in the Ettan Norra. In the table, FBK Karlstad are 6th, upper half, on 49 points after 30 matches; Umeå FC are 8th (upper half) with 43.
Current form
FBK Karlstad, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Piteå, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Umeå FC, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Assyriska FF, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FBK Karlstad, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Umeå FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FBK Karlstad 1.6 xG, Umeå FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FBK Karlstad 43%, draw 24%, Umeå FC 34%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBK Karlstad 1–1 Umeå FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FBK Karlstad43%fair 2.35 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.65
Umeå FC34%fair 2.97 · @2.65
3.04Expected goals
1.63FBK Karlstad xG
1.41Umeå FC xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: FBK Karlstad 1.6 – 1.4 Umeå FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FBK Karlstad to win✗
43%
2.35
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Draw no bet
FBK Karlstad (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Umeå FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
FBK Karlstad to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FBK Karlstad / FT FBK Karlstad✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
FBK Karlstad – last 4
WWLW
14 May
@ Piteå
5–1
W
3 Apr
vs Gefle IF
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Trollhättan
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs IFK Skövde
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Umeå FC – last 6
WDWLLL
14 May
@ Assyriska FF
5–1
W
9 May
vs Gefle IF
2–2
D
3 May
vs Karlberg
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Stockholm Internazionale
0–3
L
19 Apr
@ Vasalund
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Arlanda
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FBK Karlstad and Umeå FC.
What is the prediction for FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
On our numbers FBK Karlstad have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Umeå FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
Our predicted score is FBK Karlstad 1–1 Umeå FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC?
FBK Karlstad vs Umeå FC (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
