Arlanda vs Gefle IF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Monday 1 June: Arlanda v Gefle IF in the Ettan Norra, played at Midgardsvallen. In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; Gefle IF are 9th (lower half) with 41. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arlanda, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FBK Karlstad, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Gefle IF, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Järfälla, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Arlanda, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Gefle IF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 1.7 xG, Gefle IF 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 54%, draw 24%, Gefle IF 22%.
Lower-risk option: Arlanda or draw (78%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 1–1 Gefle IF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arlanda54%fair 1.83 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.65
Gefle IF22%fair 4.65 · @4.40
2.84Expected goals
1.71Arlanda xG
1.13Gefle IF xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Arlanda 1.7 – 1.1 Gefle IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arlanda to win✗
54%
1.83
1.67
Double chance
Arlanda or draw✗
78%
1.27
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.65
Draw no bet
Arlanda (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Gefle IF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Arlanda to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Arlanda – last 6
DDDDWW
23 May
@ FBK Karlstad
0–0
D
18 May
@ AFC Eskilstuna
0–0
D
13 May
vs Karlberg
1–1
D
9 May
vs Sollentuna
1–1
D
3 May
@ Piteå
2–1
W
24 Apr
@ Enköping
7–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gefle IF – last 6
LDLDLL
23 May
@ Järfälla
0–4
L
17 May
vs Assyriska FF
0–0
D
14 May
@ Vasalund
0–1
L
9 May
@ Umeå FC
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ FBK Karlstad
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ IK brage
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and Gefle IF.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arlanda vs Gefle IF?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gefle IF 22%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs Gefle IF?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs Gefle IF?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 1–1 Gefle IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs Gefle IF?
Arlanda vs Gefle IF (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
