AFC Eskilstuna 49%Draw 21%Karlberg 30%Expected goals 2.02 – 1.25
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: AFC Eskilstuna to win @ 2.30 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAFC Eskilstuna to win ✓49% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlberg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AFC Eskilstuna welcome Karlberg to Tunavallen for a Ettan Norra fixture on Thursday 4 June (18:30 WAT). In the table, AFC Eskilstuna are 4th, among the top four, on 53 points after 30 matches; Karlberg are 10th (lower half) with 37. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AFC Eskilstuna, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hammarby Talang, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Karlberg, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FBK Karlstad, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Eskilstuna, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Karlberg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Eskilstuna 2.0 xG, Karlberg 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Eskilstuna 49%, draw 21%, Karlberg 30%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: AFC Eskilstuna to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Eskilstuna 2–1 Karlberg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Eskilstuna49%fair 2.04 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.70
Karlberg30%fair 3.33 · @2.55
3.26Expected goals
2.02AFC Eskilstuna xG
1.25Karlberg xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: AFC Eskilstuna 2.0 – 1.2 Karlberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Eskilstuna to win✓
49%
2.04
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.42
Draw no bet
AFC Eskilstuna (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Karlberg +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
AFC Eskilstuna to score first✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
AFC Eskilstuna ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Eskilstuna / FT AFC Eskilstuna✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
AFC Eskilstuna – last 6
WLDWDW
30 May
@ Hammarby Talang
2–1
W
24 May
vs Vasalund
0–3
L
18 May
vs Arlanda
0–0
D
13 May
@ Stockholm Internazionale
2–0
W
20 Apr
@ Stocksund
4–4
D
15 Feb
vs Enköping
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Karlberg – last 6
DLDLWL
31 May
vs FBK Karlstad
1–1
D
23 May
@ Stockholm Internazionale
1–2
L
13 May
@ Arlanda
1–1
D
3 May
@ Umeå FC
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Assyriska FF
4–3
W
10 Apr
vs Enköping
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Eskilstuna and Karlberg.
What is the prediction for AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlberg?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlberg?
On our numbers AFC Eskilstuna have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karlberg 30%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlberg?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlberg?
Our predicted score is AFC Eskilstuna 2–1 Karlberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlberg?
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlberg (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Thursday 4 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Tunavallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.