Umeå FC 58%Draw 23%Piteå 19%Expected goals 2.05 – 1.16
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultUmeå FC to win ✓58% · @1.55
Double chanceUmeå FC or draw ✓81% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Umeå FC vs Piteå: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Umeå FC welcome Piteå to Umea Energi Arena for a Ettan Norra fixture on Friday 12 June (18:00 WAT). In the table, Umeå FC are 8th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Piteå are 14th (in the drop zone) with 27. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Umeå FC, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sollentuna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Piteå, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Enköping, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Umeå FC 2.1 xG, Piteå 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Umeå FC 58%, draw 23%, Piteå 19%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Umeå FC 2–1 Piteå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Umeå FC58%fair 1.72 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.00
Piteå19%fair 5.21 · @4.75
3.21Expected goals
2.05Umeå FC xG
1.16Piteå xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Umeå FC 2.1 – 1.2 Piteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Umeå FC to win✓
58%
1.72
1.55
Double chance
Umeå FC or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
Umeå FC (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Piteå +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
Umeå FC to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Umeå FC ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Umeå FC / FT Umeå FC✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Umeå FC – last 6
DDLDWD
7 Jun
@ Sollentuna
1–1
D
31 May
vs Stocksund
2–2
D
24 May
vs IF Karlstad
0–2
L
17 May
@ FBK Karlstad
1–1
D
14 May
@ Assyriska FF
5–1
W
9 May
vs Gefle IF
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piteå – last 6
LWDDWL
7 Jun
vs Enköping
0–2
L
3 Jun
@ Ostra Ersboda
3–2
W
31 May
vs Stockholm Internazionale
2–2
D
24 May
@ Sollentuna
2–2
D
17 May
@ Stocksund
3–2
W
14 May
vs FBK Karlstad
1–5
L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Umeå FC and Piteå.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Piteå?
On our numbers Umeå FC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Piteå 19%.
How many goals will there be in Umeå FC vs Piteå?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Umeå FC vs Piteå?
Our predicted score is Umeå FC 2–1 Piteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Umeå FC vs Piteå?
Umeå FC vs Piteå (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Friday 12 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Umea Energi Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
