Value bet: Arlanda to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIF Karlstad to win ✗39% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.11
Arlanda vs IF Karlstad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 27 June the Ettan Norra brings Arlanda against IF Karlstad at Midgardsvallen. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Arlanda are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 30 matches; IF Karlstad are 7th (upper half) with 45.
Current form
Arlanda, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Järfälla, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
IF Karlstad, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Assyriska FF, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arlanda 1.5 xG, IF Karlstad 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arlanda 38%, draw 23%, IF Karlstad 39%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Arlanda to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arlanda 1–1 IF Karlstad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arlanda38%fair 2.61 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.55
IF Karlstad39%fair 2.59 · @2.00
2.86Expected goals
1.55Arlanda xG
1.31IF Karlstad xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Arlanda 1.5 – 1.3 IF Karlstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Karlstad to win✗
39%
2.59
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.57
Draw no bet
IF Karlstad (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
IF Karlstad +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Arlanda to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arlanda / FT Arlanda✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.11
–
Recent results
Arlanda – last 6
WWWWLD
23 Jun
@ Järfälla
2–0
W
18 Jun
vs Stocksund
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Järfälla
3–2
W
7 Jun
vs Assyriska FF
2–0
W
1 Jun
vs Gefle IF
2–3
L
23 May
@ FBK Karlstad
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
IF Karlstad – last 6
DWWWDW
21 Jun
@ Assyriska FF
2–2
D
13 Jun
vs Gefle IF
2–0
W
10 Jun
@ Eker Örebro
3–0
W
5 Jun
@ FBK Karlstad
3–2
W
30 May
vs Sollentuna
0–0
D
24 May
@ Umeå FC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arlanda and IF Karlstad.
What is the prediction for Arlanda vs IF Karlstad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Arlanda vs IF Karlstad?
On our numbers Arlanda have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and IF Karlstad 39%.
How many goals will there be in Arlanda vs IF Karlstad?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arlanda vs IF Karlstad?
Our predicted score is Arlanda 1–1 IF Karlstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Arlanda vs IF Karlstad?
Arlanda vs IF Karlstad (Ettan Norra) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Midgardsvallen.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
